Ukraine war updates

[EndtheMadnessNow]

Ukraine continues to chew up the Russian Navy, despite not having a single human manned warship themselves. We are seeing the future of naval warfare unfold before our eyes.

Ukrainian missile attack hits Russian warship and reconnaissance vessel, navy says

KYIV, March 26 (Reuters) - A Ukrainian missile attack struck a Russian naval reconnaissance vessel and a large landing warship that Moscow captured from Kyiv during the annexation of the Crimean peninsula in 2014, Ukraine's navy said on Tuesday.

Ukraine hit the vessels during an attack on Crimea at the weekend, the navy said. The fact of that strike was already known, but the military had said it hit two other warships, the Azov and Yamal large landing ships.

The navy said the Konstantin Olshansky large landing ship was struck with a Neptune anti-ship missile, sustaining damage that Kyiv was still assessing.

"Currently, this ship is not combat-capable," navy spokesman Dmytro Pletenchuk said on national television, adding that the Ivan Khurs reconnaissance vessel had also been hit.

There was no immediate comment from Russia.

Russia's Black Sea Fleet, which Moscow used to project power into the Mediterranean and Middle East before the war, has suffered a string of blows as Ukraine has picked off warships and even a submarine with naval drones and missiles.

Earlier this month, Russia confirmed the appointment of a new head of its navy in what was seen in Ukraine as tacit acknowledgement of the success of their naval attacks even though Ukraine does not have any large warships of its own.

The Konstantin Olshansky, then a Ukrainian warship, was captured by Russia along with much of the Ukrainian navy in 2014 when the Kremlin's troops seized control of Crimea, the traditional base of the Black Sea Fleet.

Russia cannibalised the vessel for parts for other landing ships, Pletenchuk said.

But Ukrainian strikes on large landing ships created a shortage and forced the Russian navy to prepare the ship to be brought back into service over the past year, he said.

"It had gone through a renovation and was being prepared for use against Ukraine, so unfortunately the decision was taken to strike this (ship)," he said.

He added that a Ukrainian-made Neptune anti-ship missile was used for the strike.

"Out of 13 (large landing ships), four have been destroyed, four are being repaired, and five are in working order," he said.

The Yamal and Azov warships that were also hit over the weekend have been taken for repairs, Pletenchuk said.

Surface Navies in the traditional sense seem to becoming irrelevant. The niche where navies once dominated is quickly becoming a relic and now moving to drones/UAV and underwater drones and I think the new power is space & space based weapons. Starship will soon be able to hit ships, land and air targets with hypersonic precision guided kinetic & explosive weapons anywhere on Earth. The Black Sea is the US R&D testing waters. Kinda like what Iraq was in Desert Storm.

[727Sky]

[727Sky]

Running out of ammo as the west turns it back on a continued supply chain for Ukraine

[SomeJackleg]

next they'll be be posting  beheading of rissian solider video's or worse innocent civilians. mark my words.

[727Sky]

I like the music but this war sucks and most future wars will only get worse IMO

[727Sky]

[EndtheMadnessNow]

Ukraine will now be able to use Storm Shadow to reach targets in and around the Russian cities of Voronezh Kursk, Bryansk, and Orol. According to the plan this will allow Ukraine to hold Russian command and logistics elements at far greater risk, complicating Russian ambitions to seize Ukraine’s eastern bastion city of Kharkiv.

Why the UK says Ukraine can now target Russia with British weapons

In a clear response to a Russian intelligence service arson attack on a London factory, the United Kingdom has said that Ukraine can use British weapons to strike targets inside Russia.

This bears particular note in relation to the U.K.’s Storm Shadow cruise missile, a number of which Ukraine possesses. Ukraine has previously used these missiles to great effect in targeting Russian naval forces in Crimea. But assuming its aircraft can survive Russian air defenses along Ukraine’s northeastern border, Ukraine will now be able to use Storm Shadow to reach targets in and around the Russian cities of Voronezh Kursk, Bryansk, and Orol. This will allow Ukraine to hold Russian command and logistics elements at far greater risk, complicating Russian ambitions to seize Ukraine’s eastern bastion city of Kharkiv.

This is a significant shift in U.K. policy. Britain has strongly supported Ukraine since the start of the war in February 2022, including (as first reported by the Washington Examiner) with robust special forces deployments. But in terms of British weapons provided to Ukraine, until now, the U.K. had restricted their use to Russian targets inside Ukraine. Two things have changed in the last few weeks, however.

First, Russian forces have made tactically significant offensive advances against Ukrainian forces. This has led to growing fears that a likely Russian offensive this summer may lead to major breakthroughs for Russian President Vladimir Putin’s forces. This concern underlines why France is warning that any such breakthrough might constitute grounds for a military intervention in Ukraine’s support. In that sense, the U.K. announcement is likely, in part, also designed to pressure France to allow its Storm Shadow equivalent, SCALP, to be used by Ukraine in the same manner.

Second, Russian intelligence services have launched a covert sabotage campaign against Western targets that Moscow deems to be providing support for Ukraine. Germany recently arrested two people suspected of plotting attacks on targets inside that country. And in March, a Ukrainian-owned warehouse in London was set alight by a group led by a person acting under Russian direction. Further incidents of this kind are anticipated across Europe in the coming weeks. As an extension, an unexplained fire on Friday at a major Diehl Group factory (Diehl is supplying military equipment to Ukraine) in Berlin will have to be investigated carefully.

At least from the U.K. government’s perspective, though, the key motive here is a refusal to allow Russia to set the terms of escalation in relation to the war in Ukraine. Russia wants the West to believe that its continued support for Ukraine risks a direct NATO-Russia confrontation and potentially even nuclear war. This intimidation game is a long-standing one that continues to pay dividends in dividing the West about how far to go in supporting Ukraine. Germany still refuses to provide Ukraine with its Taurus cruise missiles in the face of these threats, for example. The United States is similarly putting greater pressure on Ukraine to avoid striking targets inside Russia. Other European powers, such as Spain, want a return to appeasement.

It’s unsurprising, then, that Moscow is doubling down on its intimidation narrative in response to the U.K. announcement. Putin’s chief spokesman Dmitry Peskov declared on Friday that the U.K. decision “could potentially pose a danger to European security, to the entire European security architecture.” Playing to the Kremlin’s favorite nuclear war line, foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova asked, “How irresponsible and callous do you have to be not to realize what such statements lead to, especially with regard to countries with nuclear weapons?”

Yet what the Kremlin doesn’t seem to understand is that its war on Ukraine has already demolished the entire European security architecture. The U.K. and France recognize that just as Russian nuclear threats were effectively deterred in the Cold War, so can they be deterred today. But to allow Russia to set the terms of this conflict would be to allow Russia to dominate Europe.

And if the 19th and 20th centuries proved anything, it’s that the enabling of single-state dominance of Europe doesn’t ever lead anywhere good.

The Storm Shadow's BROACH (Bomb Royal Ordnance Augmented Charge) warhead features an initial penetrating charge to clear soil or enter a bunker, then a variable delay fuze to control detonation of the main warhead. Intended targets are command, control and communications centres; airfields; ports and power stations; ammunition management and storage facilities; surface ships and submarines in port; bridges and other high value strategic targets.


Also, Storm Shadow:

[F2d5thCav]

That war is a terrifying preview of how future wars will be fought: increasingly with robots.

I read that in a 10 square kilometer area of the front, that often hundreds of drones from both sides are operating.  That is a lot of eyes in the sky, a guy can't take a dump without having ordnance dropped on him.

The Russians already learned that aircraft have to be parked in hardened shelters, else they're easy meat for a weaponized drone.  Not sure how aircraft carriers will address that challenge, but their air defense assets will probably multiply many times.  The last thing a ship needs is having an aircraft fueled up and armed to the teeth getting blown up on its deck ...

I expect that soon enough we'll see drone-hunting drones, the job of which will be to clear the sky of enemy drones.  Of course, other drones will be targeting them as well.

Something tells me, as well, that at some point, Iran will regret having sided with Russia in the war.  Ukraine's drones are of increasingly long reach, and Tehran is well within their striking range.

Cheers

[EndtheMadnessNow]

The latest type is a Sky Ranger 'Nynja' light aircraft modified for uncrewed operations with a 100kg bomb underneath.



Guide To Ukraine's Long Range Attack Drones

That vertical turd looks so out of place.
Mathias Rust... lives in a Ukraine drone makers mind. Remembering that time back in 1987 when a German teenager who humiliated the Soviet War Machine by landing his Cessna 172 in Moscow’s Red Square.

In the technology sector nothing moves faster than weapons development and agree the drone dept is off the charts. Drones, terminators and lord knows what else. Soon the fighting factions won't need to send a wet team to take out someone, just send an assassin drone about the size of a dragonfly.

I was reading something somewhere the other day where after a Russian missile hit they recovered some the missile debris and noticed a few of the parts were made in...North Korea. Dunno if that is true, but wouldn't be surprised.

As above, so below... we're told it can carry a payload of some sorts and able to hibernate on the sea floor for very long periods.




Manta Ray Underwater Drone

[EndtheMadnessNow]

Ooof, sounds quite dire...


https://twitter.com/khodorkovsky_en/stat...8641006733

His speech from the vid:

Putin spends about $120bn a year on the war – 5.4% of Russia’s $2.2 trillion GDP – with the most commonly used Russian shell costing about $500.

European aid to Kyiv over two years amounts to $88bn – about 0.25% of the EU’s GDP – with shells that cost between $5,000 and $8,000.

This means that, if we include the American contribution, Putin is outproducing the West by at least 2.5:1. This year, without US support, that ratio jumps to 4:1.

At the start of the war, Russia’s population was 142 million to Ukraine’s 40 million – a ratio of about 3.5:1. Now, two years later, that ratio is 7:1. And yet, we demand that Ukraine continue to fight on – but with what?

At the current rate, Kharkiv will fall within the year, and Odesa – next year. By 2026, Ukraine will be capable only of maintaining a small-scale partisan resistance – and that is in the best case scenario.

Lviv will be preserved if Polish troops, as part of NATO, enter the city. This is a more optimistic scenario, provided that the Ukrainian Armed Forces continue their heroic resistance despite all the challenges.

What is the thought process at play? ‘Perhaps if Putin takes Ukraine, he will calm down’? Perhaps he will – although as I have said before, that is highly unlikely.

More likely, when the war is over, Russian soldiers will be at Poland's border. And they'll be joined by some Ukrainians, resentful of the Western betrayal and, in need of some way to earn a living, forced to join a united Russian-Ukrainian army under Russian command.

We saw a similar dynamic happen in Donbas.

I’m sure nobody who has thought about this, really wants to see such an outcome. But as it stands, this is the most likely one. The only way to prevent it is for Western countries to step up their efforts to aid Ukraine and hinder Putin.

Without the support of its allies, Ukraine cannot be expected to fight off the invasion forever. Putin certainly has the support of his own allies. Xi Jinping has said that there are no limits to Sino-Russian co-operation. What can this tell us?

It tells us that when democracies are not willing to unite and act decisively, then dictators feel empowered to act as they please without fear of consequences.

It’s important to keep in mind that Putin does not need territory. Putin needs a war for his domestic goals. And a weak West makes a wonderful target for him.

If the West hopes to trick the world’s autocrats into a world war, then it’s well on the way to realizing that aim.

I work to draw attention to the nuances of Russian policy that mainstream outlets often miss. Follow for more analysis.

[EndtheMadnessNow]

If these numbers are near accurate you'd think the war would be over right soon.

Putin says Ukrainian losses five times higher (June 5, 2024)

Kiev is losing at least 50,000 people a month, the Russian president has told journalists

The Armed Forces of Ukraine are losing at least 50,000 service personnel a month, five times more than the Russian military, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday.

Putin was speaking with reporters from international news agencies on the sidelines of the St Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF).

“According to our estimates, the Ukrainian army loses about 50,000 people every month,” Putin said in response to a question, adding that the ratio of sanitary and irrecoverable casualties was “about 50-50.”

While not specifying the number of Russian casualties, Putin said the number of irrecoverable losses was at least five times less than those incurred by Kiev's forces. There are currently 1,348 Russian servicemen held in Ukraine as prisoners of war, while 6,465 Ukrainian servicemen are in Russian captivity, the president revealed.

Ukraine is capable of mobilizing about 30,000 troops a month and “there aren’t very many volunteers,” Putin explained.

“It doesn’t solve the problem,” the Russian leader said, “All of the people they are able to mobilize go to replace the battlefield losses.”

It is “an open secret” in Ukraine that the push to lower the age of conscription has come from the US, Putin added.

In April, Kiev amended the rules to allow the drafting of 25-year-olds, down from the previous threshold of 27. According to Putin, Washington wants to revise it to 23, “then to 18, or maybe directly to 18,” and has already convinced Ukraine to require 17-year-olds to register for mobilization.

The acute shortage of frontline troops has driven Kiev to consider accepting deserters who have chosen to return to the battlefield, according to an instruction from the State Bureau of Investigation (SBI) to AFU commander-in-chief Aleksandr Syrsky, published on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, the latest Defence Intelligence update from the MOD on the situation in Ukraine – 31 May 2024:




Flipping back to Putin...

Nothing will change after US elections – Putin

Russia’s relations with Washington will not be impacted, no matter who is elected president

“We believe no serious changes will happen after the elections,” the Russian leader explained, in response to a question from Reuters.

Putin reminded reporters that he had already commented on this issue, describing the incumbent US president Joe Biden as “an old-school politician” and “more predictable” than his predecessor and challenger Donald Trump.

“Everyone took my statement about Biden as some kind of joke at his expense,” Putin noted, adding that the American president’s reaction – to attack and insult the Russian leader – just proved his point that Biden was predictable.

Putin pointed out that Russia “never had any special relations” with Trump, whom the Democrats in 2016 accused of being a kind of Russian agent. The Republican president had in fact introduced “massive sanctions” against Russia and exited the INF treaty.

By prosecuting Trump in court, however, the Americans are “burning themselves up from the inside, their state, their political system,” Putin told reporters. “They are burning it down to the ground.”

The current administration is making one mistake after another,” Putin said.

Nobody in the US cares about Ukraine’s interests,” Putin said. Americans are “not fighting for Ukraine or the Ukrainian people, they are fighting for their own grandeur and global leadership.”

[727Sky]

Since Russia has been seeing their plans go amiss Putin has offered a ceasefire with rhe conditions that Ukraine give up 4 territories.

revealed his demands to Ukraine he
0:13
offers a ceasefire on two conditions
0:15
Ukraine gives Russia four territories
0:18
and obliges not to join
0:28
NATO for
1:01
after
1:02
842 days since the beginning of the
1:05
Russian invasion of Ukraine Putin
1:06
Finally Revealed his true reasons behind
1:09
starting this war he wants territory I
1:12
mean of course it was obvious since the
1:14
very beginning uh of the invasion but
1:17
there is more to this let's ask
1:20
ourselves why did he decide to reveal
1:22
these demands exactly today and the
1:25
answer is yesterday Ukraine and the
1:28
United States signed a historic

[EndtheMadnessNow]

According to the Institute for the Study of War, the Islamic State (IS) Northern Caucasus branch, Wilayat Kavkaz, likely conducted a complex and coordinated attack against churches, synagogues, and law enforcement structures in the Republic of Dagestan, Russian Federation, on June 23.

Russian authorities have attempted a lackluster counterterrorism operation in the North Caucasus since March 2024 to combat growing IS and Wilayat Kavkaz influence but have largely focused their post-Crocus Hall response on baselessly blaming Ukraine and NATO for the attack.

Russia's increasingly tense relationship with its Muslim minority population, especially in the Caucasus, will likely continue to provide Wilayat Kazkaz and other extremist groups with a valuable recruitment base.



Latest campaign assessment: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 23, 2024

[727Sky]

I like the music but I would have hated playing it,,,talk about a tired arm and hand !!

I can not feel anything but pity for those who are dying because they are ordered to go fight

[727Sky]

[727Sky]

Drones with auto-pilot attack mode

[727Sky]

[727Sky]

If all true this may be a really big deal

[727Sky]

An armed Russian cruise ship you can book to kill Somali Pirates...

Great family outing ?? Russian kinda fun !! Oh and 100 rounds of 762.39 plus and AK-47 will be an extra $20 a day.. come one come all !! 2:15 in the video

[EndtheMadnessNow]

An armed Russian cruise ship you can book to kill Somali Pirates...

Great family outing ?? Russian kinda fun !! Oh and 100 rounds of 762.39 plus and AK-47 will be an extra $20 a day.. come one come all !! 2:15 in the video

I think there was a movie about the rich using pirates for sport. Something along those lines. What an insane world we live in.