July 25, 2023: The RAND boys issue a 62-page report titled Not the X-Files: Mapping Public Reports of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena Across America in which it presents a “geographic analysis of 101,151 public reports of UAP sightings in 12,783 US Census Bureau” designated places based on National UFO Research Center cases.
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The authors find that the reports tend to cluster within 19 miles of military operations areas where the Air Force or Navy engages in combat maneuvers, air intercepts, and low-altitude tactics.
Key Findings
A review of 101,151 public reports of UAP sightings in the United States from 1998 to 2022 found an inconsistent relationship between the nearest military and weather installations and self-reports of UAP sightings.
The models used to conduct the analysis showed that reports of UAP sightings were less likely within 30 km of weather stations, 60 km of civilian airports, and in more–densely populated areas, while rural areas tended to have a higher rate of UAP reports.
The most consistent and statistically significant finding was that reports of UAP sightings were more likely to occur in areas within 30 km of military operations areas, where routine military training occurs.
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RAND Research Reports: Not the X-Files
The authors find that the reports tend to cluster within 19 miles of military operations areas where the Air Force or Navy engages in combat maneuvers, air intercepts, and low-altitude tactics.
Key Findings
A review of 101,151 public reports of UAP sightings in the United States from 1998 to 2022 found an inconsistent relationship between the nearest military and weather installations and self-reports of UAP sightings.
The models used to conduct the analysis showed that reports of UAP sightings were less likely within 30 km of weather stations, 60 km of civilian airports, and in more–densely populated areas, while rural areas tended to have a higher rate of UAP reports.
The most consistent and statistically significant finding was that reports of UAP sightings were more likely to occur in areas within 30 km of military operations areas, where routine military training occurs.
RAND Research Reports: Not the X-Files
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