(04-08-2026, 03:11 AM)SomeJackleg Wrote: looks like iran might have caved, U.S. and iran agree to two week cease. U.S. will stop bombing, and will not attack infrastructure bridges power plants if iran stops firing on ships and opens up the straight of hormuz.
me i think the bastards are stalling and hoping to get some more shit from russia and china and keep on firing missiles.
Live updates: US and Iran agree to a two-week ceasefire
i think trump should start saying, speak loudly and carry a big stick
I'm wit you. Iran has never, since the days of Cyrus, negotiated in good faith. There is no particular reason they would suddenly start now. If Trump is wise, he'll also be stocking up, getting ready for their onslaught whenever they deem their new stockpiles to be sufficient.
It bothers me that the agreement now allows Iran to enrich itself at the expense of international shipping through Hormuz. That's not opening the straits, that's shaking down the rest of the kids in the schoolyard for their lunch money. It has always been an international waterway, and there is no reason Iran should be allowed to shake down ships to allow passage. By that logic, they could also shake down trans-Atlantic shipping, Indian ocean shipping, Pacific ship crossings, and any other ship passing through any other international waters.
If I were an international shipping magnate, NOW is the time I would cease all operations in the Gulf and through the straits. I'd send nary another ship through or to any of the Gulf countries = no tankers, no container ships, not so much as a rubber dinghy - until such time as the straights we reopened for real, with no shakedowns. This is like allowing Iran to say "nice boat ya got there. Be a shame if anything was to happen to it. But, we can sell you some 'insurance' so's that won't happen.... Carrmine! Vito! Give 'em a little taste of what could happen should they not pays up their weekly 'insurance fees..."
I'd carry out nary a drop of oil, and carry in nary a crumb of food or so much as a single pill of medicine, until the straits were opened again seriously. I'd give 'em a clue as to what an "embargo" really looks like, and who really controls those straits. Iran can't shake any money out of ships that aren't trying to get through.
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“Trouble rather the tiger in his lair than the sage among his books. For to you kingdoms and their armies are things mighty and enduring, but to him they are but toys of the moment, to be overturned with the flick of a finger.”
― Gordon R. Dickson, Tactics of Mistake
― Gordon R. Dickson, Tactics of Mistake