Britain Today

[F2d5thCav]

(Professor) David Betz recently spoke at an event in Europe.  In his view, the UK is not only on a course for civil war, but has passed the point at which such a destiny can be avoided.

Some of his key points:

I see the confluence of two main vectors. The first is the revolt against the elites, i.e., the opposition between what David Goodhart has called the Somewheres, locally rooted individuals, and the Anywheres, cosmopolitan elites embracing a post-national ideology and controlling the institutions to a very large extent. This dynamic is reminiscent of the peasant revolts in Europe between the XIVth and the XVIIth century, caused by a mixture of economic, social, political and cultural factors, often amplified by one-off crises.

The risk is that this revolt will evolve into a «dirty war», with the characteristics seen, for example, in certain South American countries (attacks on judges, politicians and journalists), and, in return, a security crackdown that only feeds the phenomenon. If its capital of legitimacy is exhausted, the state will be reduced to reacting rather than acting, and will hardly be able to rely on patriotic sentiment or the consent of its citizens.

Against a backdrop of increasing violence, social disorganization and impoverishment, individuals will tend to retreat to their latent tribal affiliations in search of security and protection. This process of residential segregation by affinity will progressively empty formerly mixed neighborhoods and localities, consolidating ethnic enclaves - a phenomenon already observable in some European conurbations, such as Brussels and London.

There is no real political way out. Anti-system parties, such as Reform in the UK, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) in Germany or the Rassemblement National in France, will see their electoral prospects considerably reduced by «legal warfare», i.e. the deliberate judicialization of the political adversary, as well as by a whole panoply of tried and tested techniques for defending the status quo. And even if they did manage to get elected and prove themselves genuinely determined to bring about far-reaching change, these political groups would come up against a wall of administrative obstruction and constant bureaucratic sabotage.

(viz: the experience of the Trump administration vs. the "Deep State")

The countries closest to the breaking point are probably France and the UK. Ireland, however, presents, in my opinion, the greatest risk of explosion. The same tensions I mentioned earlier are present there, perhaps even more intensely, but in a context marked by a relatively recent history of civil war and violent resistance.

Of late, Professor Betz has specified how civil war might play out-- rural, "native" populations that employ a variety of schemes against urban concentrations of those seen as "foreigners".  The methods run the gamut from blocking the supply of food to sabotage of infrastructure necessary for the support of life in urban areas.

Cav's take: this situation is another of the long-lasting consequences of the World Wars.  Many inputs, but some of them were the loss of European population to the ravages of wars, and government policies that sought immigration as a quick fix to labor shortages.

Quoted text from-- https://leregardlibre.com/en/policy/worl...interview/