Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off

[quintessentone]

Timelapse showing shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz up to today's date of March 3, 2026.

https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/cze004wywz3o

"The Strait of Hormuz is a key artery for the movement of global energy supplies.

Usually, about 20% of global oil and gas passes through the narrow shipping lane in the Gulf.

Iran's General Sardar Jabbari said that Tehran will now "not let a single drop of oil leave the region".

A timelapse of marine traffic showed the flow of ships has decreased in the strait since the US and Israeli coordinated military offensive against Iran began on 28 February 2026.

Blocking the strait could further inflate the cost of goods and services worldwide, and hit some of the world's biggest economies, including China, India and Japan, which are among the top importers of crude oil passing through the waterway."

That's an interesting time lapse. I noticed several of the dots just disappear, mid-Gulf. Must be boats that got sunk. You'll have to decide for yourself who to believe, whether US CENTCOM or the Iranians, as to whose boats disappeared, and which side did the sinking.

I'm really not too worried about outflowing oil getting cut off at Hormuz. Mostly, it just provides an excuse for fat men smoking cigars in dimly lit and smoke-filled rooms to raise their prices... and they're going to use any excuse they can to raise those prices to gather money to themselves. This is just a convenient one for them to use. They're going to do it regardless, any which way they can.

I'm more concerned about incoming food and such to the Gulf States. Saudi Arabia has ports on the est coast they can switch to to bring in food and other imports, which would be unaffected by any Hormuz blockage. The other Gulf States, not so much... but they can probably strike deals with the Saudis, since they are all in the same target zone with a common enemy.

I'm also less worried about the bombing of desalinization plants that folks have been droning on about the possibility of. That falls back to my theory of what happens when you start affecting the survival prospects of people. When you start cutting off water to folks, they get a little testy about that. It could provoke the instant erasure of Iran. Not sure they want to go there.

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It's 20% of the region's oil and I really don't know how that translates to Gulf losses, either in $ or in more serious terms. 

I did read somewhere China has enough reserves to weather this storm and, of course, there are those railroads that are available as an alternate means of delivery.

The Saudis and the other allies of the USA may rethink their positions after Iran's latest bombings. They are too close for comfort and the USA seemingly can't or won't stop those missiles. What's next, bombing and destroying all of Saudi's oil assets?

Hey, I'm believing what I see on video, where Iran's many missiles are successfully striking Israel cities and Israel interceptors are failing to stop them.

I think Trump will soon be giving an address to the world that he will stop the onslaught because _________ (insert reason).

If he does I will credit him for doing what I consider a smart move.

59% of Americans disapprove of Israel's government's agenda.