Based on polling of more than 16,000 Britons More in Common’s latest Mega-Poll will give the Uni-Party nightmares as we enter a new year and a new and terrifying set of Elections in May.
As with other Countries in Europe dirty tricks are being deployed against Farage and Reform , in their attempt to fix the Election voters are being asked to vote tactically if their party is polling lower than the Uni-Party alternative.
Quote:Party
Seat count
Change from 2024 result
Vote share
Reform UK -381
+376
31%
Labour -85
-326
20%
Conservative- 70
-51
21%
As with other Countries in Europe dirty tricks are being deployed against Farage and Reform , in their attempt to fix the Election voters are being asked to vote tactically if their party is polling lower than the Uni-Party alternative.
Quote:"Reform continues to hold poll position in our MRP. Based on polling since the budget, it suggests that in an election tomorrow Reform could hope to secure a substantial three-figure majority. Meanwhile the Polanski surge sees the Greens continue to make gains, with disillusioned progressives putting them within shouting distance of many more gains from Labour.
On the other hand, Labour would slump to a modern low, losing over half of the total number of seats in parliament and being reduced to just 85 MPs. While the Tories would lose a further 50 from their 2024 nadir, this projection actually represents an uptick in the Tories’ fortunes and signs that the Badenoch bounce may at least be stabilising their position in places like the ‘Blue Wall’ - even as they lose seats to Reform in their Brexit-voting former heartlands.But there is one major caveat: tactical voting. For the first time we have explored how tactical voting could reshape the model projections. It suggests the Liberal Democrats could be big winners here - and if that if tactical voting is anywhere close to the scale we saw in Caerphilly, that parties of the left could deny Reform a majority and form a rainbow coalition of their own.The threat of tactical voting, combined with the narrow margin of many of Reform’s projected victories, suggests their momentum may have at least temporarily stalled. That, combined with the fact we are still years from an election, means that despite their success in 2025, the path to the next general election is still far from known."
https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/latest-i...nuary-mrp/