Explanation: I was on Politics discord server in the war-room discussing Russian ICBM's and WW3 and this is what I learned ...
Russia has about 1200 ICBM's of which 25% are held in reserve, leaving 900 active ICBM's of which about 300 are Satan-1 and Satan-2 ICBMs which can carry up to 1 large warhead/decoy [20MegaTons each in destructive power] and the remaining ICBMs can carry about 10 light warheads/decoys [225KiloTons each in destructive power] ...
There are about 300 maximum onshore Aegis missiles which can intercept the Russian ICBM's in the mid-flight phase of their journeys, based in Poland and Romania and they have about a 2/3rds kill rate currently.
So best case scenario is 900-300 [100% kill ratio by Aegis missiles] = leaving 600 ICBM's making it through that protective net.
And worse case scenario is Russia deploys all 1200 ICBM's and 200 are shot down [67% kill ratio by Aegis missiles] = leaving 1000 ICBM's making it through that protective net, to hit their targets world wide.
In a worst case scenario if each ICBM carries a single warhead then 200 Satan-1 and Satan-2 missiles [each carrying a 20MT warhead = 4GT] and 800 other ICBM's [each carrying a 225KT warhead = 180MT] then the world would suffer 4.180 GigaTons of damage.
Scientists worked out that if 100 x 20KT nukes were detonated world wide in the same hour the planet as we know it would be destroyed = a mere 2MT which is 25 times less than the Tzar Bombs [50MT] damage.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aegis_Ball...gis_Ashore
https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/defen...le-3-sm-3/
![[Image: _123463521_russian_nuclear_capability_v2...c.png.webp]](https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/30F8/production/_123463521_russian_nuclear_capability_v2_640x2-nc.png.webp)
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60564123
https://www.military.com/history/worlds-...satan.html
![[Image: 11082355_10152719036461198_7393289887901...&auto=webp]](https://static.independent.co.uk/2023/02/09/17/11082355_10152719036461198_7393289887901148492_o.jpg?quality=75&width=640&auto=webp)
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world...79249.html
https://www.foxnews.com/tech/doomsday-wa...evastation
Personal Disclosure: This analysis doesnt include any of the other nuclear powered nations [UK, France, China, North Korea, India , Pakistan & Israel] nuclear arsenals being deployed, ONLY Russia's arsenal of ICBM's [note: NOT intermediate and short range ballistic missiles etc].
Pretty sobering huh?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_ass...estruction
Russia has about 1200 ICBM's of which 25% are held in reserve, leaving 900 active ICBM's of which about 300 are Satan-1 and Satan-2 ICBMs which can carry up to 1 large warhead/decoy [20MegaTons each in destructive power] and the remaining ICBMs can carry about 10 light warheads/decoys [225KiloTons each in destructive power] ...
There are about 300 maximum onshore Aegis missiles which can intercept the Russian ICBM's in the mid-flight phase of their journeys, based in Poland and Romania and they have about a 2/3rds kill rate currently.
So best case scenario is 900-300 [100% kill ratio by Aegis missiles] = leaving 600 ICBM's making it through that protective net.
And worse case scenario is Russia deploys all 1200 ICBM's and 200 are shot down [67% kill ratio by Aegis missiles] = leaving 1000 ICBM's making it through that protective net, to hit their targets world wide.
In a worst case scenario if each ICBM carries a single warhead then 200 Satan-1 and Satan-2 missiles [each carrying a 20MT warhead = 4GT] and 800 other ICBM's [each carrying a 225KT warhead = 180MT] then the world would suffer 4.180 GigaTons of damage.
Scientists worked out that if 100 x 20KT nukes were detonated world wide in the same hour the planet as we know it would be destroyed = a mere 2MT which is 25 times less than the Tzar Bombs [50MT] damage.
Quote:In March 2018 the MDA announced it “is evaluating the technical feasibility of the capability of the SM-3 Block IIA missile, currently under development, against an ICBM-class target. If proven to be effective against an ICBM, this missile could add a layer of protection, augmenting the currently deployed GMD system.” The MDA plans to conduct a demonstration of the SM-3 Block IIA against an ICBM-like target by the end of 2020.[17] On November 17, 2020, an SM-3 Block IIA missile successfully intercepted a threat-representative Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) target in its mid-course phase of flight, reaffirming the capability to intercept non-separating, simple separating, and complex-separating ballistic missiles.[18]
Glide Phase Interceptor (GPI) will provide defense against hypersonic weapons.[19] Glide Phase Interceptor will be integrated with modified Baseline 9 Aegis Weapon System.[20]
Aegis Ashore[edit]
NATO's Aegis Ashore Ballistic Missile Defense System (AABMDS) site in Romania
NATO's Aegis Ashore Ballistic Missile Defense System (AABMDS) site in Redzikowo, Poland
As of the 2014 NATO Wales summit a land-based component, Aegis Ashore, was being developed.[21] The first site to be declared operational was Deveselu Romania in 2016.[22] This consists of equipment commonly used by the Navy being deployed in land-based facilities. This includes SPY-1 radars and a battery of Standard Missile-3s. The Obama administration's plans call for two sites: the first in Romania at Deveselu that was opened in May 2015 and the second in Redzikowo, Poland (planned for 2018, but delayed twice, to 2022[23][a]). In 2020, both will get the latest versions of the Aegis BMD software and the latest version of the SM-3.[25] Some radar facilities will be placed in Turkey at a future date.[26][27][28][29]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aegis_Ball...gis_Ashore
Quote:Aegis BMD and the SM-3 make up the foundation of the EPAA. Each phase of the EPAA calls for the deployment of upgraded SM-3 variants to counter the improving ballistic missile capabilities of Iran. In March 2011, Phase I of the EPAA mandated the deployment of 113 SM-3 Block IA interceptors and 16 SM-3 Block IB interceptors to Aegis BMD ships in Europe.
In 2015, Phase II called for 100 SM-3 Block IB interceptors to be deployed in Europe alongside the new Aegis Ashore site in Romania. The new land-based version—Aegis Ashore—is configured as Aegis BMD 5.0 with SM-3 IB interceptors. Aegis BMD 5.0 does not add new functionality, but is designed to integrate Aegis BMD 4.0.1 with the Navy’s open architecture system, enabling any Aegis ship to perform the BMD mission.
Scheduled for 2020, the third phase of the EPAA mandates the deployment of 19 new SM-3 Block IIA interceptors alongside the development of another Aegis Ashore site Poland. Phase IV of the EPAA originally called for the deployment of SM-3 Block IIB interceptors capable of intercepting ICBMs coming out of Iran. However, diplomatic pressure from Russia resulted in the cancelation of the fourth phase of the EPAA and development of the SM-3 Block IIB halted.
https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/defen...le-3-sm-3/
![[Image: _123463521_russian_nuclear_capability_v2...c.png.webp]](https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/30F8/production/_123463521_russian_nuclear_capability_v2_640x2-nc.png.webp)
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60564123
Quote:Although the Outer Space Treaty's stipulations calmed some of the panic around the R-36 missile, the USSR's second version of the weapon wasn't going to make anyone feel better for long. The first model featured only one 20-megaton warhead.
https://www.military.com/history/worlds-...satan.html
![[Image: 11082355_10152719036461198_7393289887901...&auto=webp]](https://static.independent.co.uk/2023/02/09/17/11082355_10152719036461198_7393289887901148492_o.jpg?quality=75&width=640&auto=webp)
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world...79249.html
Quote:According to a new scientific study, a nuclear attack of 100 bombs could harm the entire planet including the aggressor nation. How so?
New research argues that 100 nuclear weapons is the “pragmatic limit” for any country to have in its arsenal. Any aggressor nation unleashing more than 100 nuclear weapons could ultimately devastate its own society, scientists warn.
The study was published in the journal Safety on Thursday; it was co-authored by Michigan Technological University professor Joshua Pearce and David Denkenberger, assistant professor at Tennessee State University and director of Alliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters (ALLFED).
“The results found that 100 nuclear warheads is adequate for nuclear deterrence in the worst case scenario, while using more than 100 nuclear weapons by any aggressor nation (including the best positioned strategically to handle the unintended consequences) even with optimistic assumptions (including no retaliation) would cause unacceptable damage to their own society,” the scientists wrote.
https://www.foxnews.com/tech/doomsday-wa...evastation
Personal Disclosure: This analysis doesnt include any of the other nuclear powered nations [UK, France, China, North Korea, India , Pakistan & Israel] nuclear arsenals being deployed, ONLY Russia's arsenal of ICBM's [note: NOT intermediate and short range ballistic missiles etc].
Pretty sobering huh?

Quote:Mutual assured destruction (MAD) is a doctrine of military strategy and national security policy which posits that a full-scale use of nuclear weapons by an attacker on a nuclear-armed defender with second-strike capabilities would cause the complete annihilation of both the attacker and the defender.[1] It is based on the theory of rational deterrence, which holds that the threat of using strong weapons against the enemy prevents the enemy's use of those same weapons. The strategy is a form of Nash equilibrium in which, once armed, neither side has any incentive to initiate a conflict or to disarm.
The term "mutual assured destruction", commonly abbreviated "MAD", was coined by Donald Brennan, a strategist working in Herman Kahn's Hudson Institute in 1962.[2] However, Brennan came up with this acronym ironically, spelling out the English word "mad" to argue that holding weapons capable of destroying society was irrational.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_ass...estruction


