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+--- Thread: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off (/showthread.php?tid=3415)
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - EndtheMadnessNow - 03-31-2026
The Red Devils: Twelve A-10C Thunderbolt IIs from the 107th Fighter Squadron of the Michigan Air National Guard arrive at RAF Lakenheath in Suffolk, UK.
![[Image: x0J98js4_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/7a/81/x0J98js4_o.jpg)
When folks say "nothing to be done, can't build shelters for big wing aircraft", remember that this is excuse-making...
![[Image: ZcvvTyTI_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/92/81/ZcvvTyTI_o.jpg)
Images Show E-3 Sentry Totally Destroyed From Iranian Strike (Updated)
Most of China's bomber bases do in fact have aircraft shelters. They may not be hardened shelters, but you can't just use commercial or 3rd-party imagery to do easy drone/missile targeting, as the aircraft are at least hidden from overhead view.
![[Image: yy5OcJsi_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/b5/58/yy5OcJsi_o.jpg)
People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) Neixiang Ma’ao air base in Nanyang, Henan, China. 32°58'37.2"N 111°52'56.9"E
Whining like a good commie...
![[Image: DETn9sWN_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/17/38/DETn9sWN_o.jpg)
![[Image: ADJg7ZJ3_o.gif]](https://images2.imgbox.com/56/a9/ADJg7ZJ3_o.gif)
The Economist: "Iran is now earning nearly twice as much from oil sales each day as it did before American and Israeli bombs started falling on February 28th. It may be pummeled on the battlefield, but the regime is winning the energy war. That end of the journey is almost always China, which absorbs over 90% of Iran’s oil. The buyers are 100-odd small “teapot” refineries in Shandong, in the country’s north."
How Iran is making a mint from Donald Trump’s war
Got a good chuckle from this guy's comment on the Economist article:
Quote:The five-second epistemology of the monks explaining women.
The Economist. The seminary on Mount Bloomberg. The monastery where the monks have taken vows of abstinence from the physical market. The monks who have never seen a barrel of oil in person explaining oil to you. The monks who have never touched a tanker explaining tankers. The monks who have never stood at a dock explaining dock prices. The monks in the monastery explaining women. The monks who have taken vows. The monks who have seen diagrams. The monks who have read about it in the sacred texts of the discounted cash flow model. The monks who know through the miracle of one true Fed chair Jerome Powell almighty and his one holy and apostolic Federal Reserve what a woman looks like without having met one. The power of the DCF. The DCF that models the woman from the monastery. The DCF that knows the shape of the curve without touching the curve.
How Iran is making a mint from Donald Trump’s war. The Economist. Charging you to learn what the kitchen published for free thirty days ago. The monks selling you a course on intimacy from behind a registration wall. The seminary that has never seen a toll booth explaining the toll booth. The seminary that has never heard Ghalibaf da Gangsta ask if they can print gas molecules explaining Iran’s economy. The seminary that has never processed a ship through the managed corridor explaining the managed corridor. The kitchen has been at the dock. The kitchen has been at the toll booth. The kitchen has been in the Strait. The monks have been in the monastery reading Bloomberg terminal scripture and modeling the woman from the DCF.
The rial strengthened 11% against the dollar while being bombed. Steve Hanke at Johns Hopkins called it remarkable. The kitchen called it theology. The monks at the Economist are now calling it a briefing. Behind a wall. Register. It’s free. Free the way everything the monastery offers is free. Free the way the vow of poverty is free. Just give us your email. Just enter the database. The monks collecting your information the way the IRGC collects at the toll booth. Except the IRGC gives you passage. The monks give you a diagram of a woman drawn by a man who has never seen one. Modeled in the DCF. Discounted to present value. The present value of the woman as determined by the monks of Mount Bloomberg.
There is one monk they say is mythical. The elder. He has never seen a physical barrel. But through the miracle of Jerome Powell almighty he knows. He knows the shape of the supply curve. He knows the demand elasticity. He knows the forward structure. He has modeled the woman from first principles. The other monks revere him. The other monks cite him. The other monks call him the heretic from the monastery — except in the monastery the heretic is the one who has actually seen a barrel. Rory Johnston the heretic from Toronto. Tracy Shuchart the heretic from Florida. The heretics who have seen the woman. The monks who haven’t. The heretics nailing theses. The monks selling courses.
Ghalibaf da Gangsta asked if they can print gas molecules. Can they print a woman from a DCF model. Can they print a barrel from a monastery. Can they print intimacy from a registration wall. The kitchen has been at the dock. The monks have been at the Bloomberg terminal. Some monastery. Some monks. Some DCF. Some never seen one. Some charging for the diagram. Day 30.
The DCF he's referring to is Discounted Cash Flow in financial analysis, is a method used to value a security, project, company, or asset, that incorporates the time value of money. Discounted cash flow analysis is widely used in investment finance, real estate development, corporate financial management, and patent valuation.
You thought by signing the Abraham Accords in 2020 the US was going to save you?
We know how it can hurt when a community loses its mall. A country that is nothing but a mall, and is going out of business, we've never seen that happen before. [sarc]
![[Image: aVmogEAF_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/d8/9d/aVmogEAF_o.jpg)
Iran may end up destroying everything on the other side of the Persian Gulf, which will result in years of global economic depression at varying levels.
Did someone forget it's Monday morning? Because if this is what calming the market looks like after a month then things must be worse than even I'd thought.
Barbara Walters interviewing Trump from 1987: How would you do that? Would you send in the Marines? Would you take a chance on a war?
Trump: Let'em have Iran. You take their oil.
Walters: But how?
Trump: You're gonna have a war by being weak and it's going to start in the Middle East.
Walters: The Soviet Union said if you do this to Iran, we're going to come in.
Trump: I don't believe they'd do it. The next time Iran attacks this country, go in and grab one of their big oil installations and I mean grab it and keep it.
![[Image: FsXfX0sU_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/cf/85/FsXfX0sU_o.jpg)
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116319451196898238
Funny, when it's the US, Israel, and the West, it's called "government".
But when it's Russia, Cuba, Venezuela, Iran, and China, it's called "regime".
When it's the US, Israel, and the West, it's called "preemptive strikes".
But when it's China, Russia, and Iran, it's called "aggressive attack".
When it's the US, Israel, and the West, it's called "defense".
But when it's China, Russia, and Iran, it's called "retaliation".
When it's the US, Israel, and the West, it's called "intervention".
But when it's China, Russia, and Iran, it's called "invasion".
When it is the US and the West, they are called allies.
When it is Iran, China, or Russia, they are called axis of evil.
Control the media and you'll control the people.
![[Image: aTl6mxqj_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/b0/7d/aTl6mxqj_o.jpg)
https://x.com/RT_com/status/2038705687639855383
It appears Trump has no exit ramp out of this war so the deadline keeps getting pushed forward. When you beat a hornets nest with a bat and then throw down the bat, the hornets will keep on stinging...fight to the death, martyrdom.
![[Image: vNfkT4Ve_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/01/cc/vNfkT4Ve_o.jpg)
The last time something like this was done was in covert Project Sapphire in 1994. 600kg of HEU in about 2,200kg of packaging required 12-14 hour days, six days a week, for a month (Oct 14 - 11 Nov). But it was different packaging from what would be expected in Iran and Sapphire wasn't done with resistance.
![[Image: 4tZ6jDIt_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/a3/ce/4tZ6jDIt_o.jpg)
PROJECT SAPPHIRE AFTER ACTION REPORT
Basically the Iranian material would likely be slightly easier to remove from a pure lifting-heavy-objects perspective, but I've heard that lifting heavy objects is harder when everyone around is shooting at you. And the specialized Nuclear Emergency Recovery Team is not accustomed to being shot at.
On the flip-side this may all be putting out by the Trump administration as a decoy. The question is: what are they really looking to do?
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - Ninurta - 03-31-2026
(03-31-2026, 03:35 AM)EndtheMadnessNow Wrote: Funny, when it's the US, Israel, and the West, it's called "government".
But when it's Russia, Cuba, Venezuela, Iran, and China, it's called "regime".
Not true. The Biden years were a "Regime". The Obama years were a "regime" The years of both of the Bushes were "Regimes". The Clinton Years were a regime". The US has been under regimes for most of the last few decades. At this very moment, in Virginia, the Spamburger regime is a "regime". I've consistently referred to all of them as such.
In bald terms, any government is a "regime", but the term "regime" has certain connotations not spelled out in the dictionary definitions, but understood by most to be included all the same. A "regime" is generally understood as a government prone to authoritarian crackdowns on it's own people. All of the regimes I mentioned above did, or in some cases are still doing, that.
So is Iran. Hence, it's a "regime"
Quote:When it's the US, Israel, and the West, it's called "preemptive strikes".
But when it's China, Russia, and Iran, it's called "aggressive attack".
I can give ya that, but with caveats. ANY strike, whether defensive, preemptive, or invasive, is "aggression" or "aggressive". What damned good is an attack that isn't? Also, as is the case in many arenas, the word choice depends on who is doing the talking. For example, the Iranian government propagandists makes no bones about calling US actions "Aggression" and a "war of aggression", as if those terms are not oxymoronic. As I mentioned above, what damned good is a war that ISN'T aggressive? If you're not willing to get aggressive with your enemy, you might as well just pull out the old barbecue and invite them over for a cookout.
Quote:When it's the US, Israel, and the West, it's called "defense".
But when it's China, Russia, and Iran, it's called "retaliation".
There is no particular reason that both can't be true simultaneously. Bullies stealing lunch money in the schoolyard tend to get all kinds of put out when one acts in a "defensive" manner and dots their damned eyes for them, and will often try to "retaliate". Both can be true at the same time.
Quote:When it's the US, Israel, and the West, it's called "intervention".
But when it's China, Russia, and Iran, it's called "invasion".
I recall vividly the Iraq War being called an "invasion", which it was. That wasn't China, Russia, or Iran doing the invading. Ya call a spade a spade, whomever plays it.
Quote:When it is the US and the West, they are called allies.
When it is Iran, China, or Russia, they are called axis of evil.
Allies are allies, whichever side they are allying with. However, just a couple days ago I saw an X post by the "Axis of Evil" powers, I think it was the Houthis, calling THEMSELVES. along with Hamas, Iran, and Hezbollah, "The Axis". I find it hard to argue when they themselves are saying the same thing, you know?
Quote:Control the media and you'll control the people.
Now THERE i a true statement. Which media outlet (propaganda outlet) one chooses to believe is wonderfully informative of whom they want controlling them. In this current propaganda war, the two choices are either the US, government or the Iranian mullahs. You just have to watch to see which side a person is rooting for to figure out which Overlord they want to win.
Quote:
https://x.com/RT_com/status/2038705687639855383
"Iran is not a conquerable land" Of course that's true. NO land is a "conquerable land". You don't go into a war intending to conquer land - inanimate dirt - you go into it to deal with people not dirt. What the propagandist is doing there is making an assumption for the sake of supporting their argument. That assumption is that the intent is to "conquer Iran". That's a might big assumption given the facts so far of the war. I'm surprised more people don't see right through it... but see my comment above about how to tell who anyone wants to have ruling over them. People often see only what they want to.
So, what if the US is only trying to change out one government for another? Why would they want to "conquer" dirt, since dirt doesn't govern much at all? It may be that it's not the territory we are at war with, but the mullahs. I think maybe the propagandist there doesn't want anyone to figure that out...
The same argument goes for "you can't fight 'em 'coz they got MOUNTAINS!" Mountainous terrain is not unconquerable. It can be, and has been repeatedly, quite thoroughly conquered. It's just very difficult, but it's not at all impossible. That's one of the reasons I live in Mountains. I know how to work 'em to my advantage. Woe betide anyone that thinks conquering me will be easy, but likewise woe betide anyone that thinks they can hide from me behind a mountain. It's not undo-able if one knows what he is doing. The US military seems to have a clue. It's the politicians they answer to that worry me. Politicians have lost more wars for the west than any number of soldiers fighting the wars. The politicians seem to have a knack for snatching defeat right out of the jaws of a victory.
I will reiterate, again, that the US should not send in US troops to "invade" or "conquer" That is a recipe for disaster, just as it was in Iraq. Our troops are not needed. There are plenty of other willing locals that would do the job for free if we just sent arms to them. So, if the folks running this war are smart, the Mullah regime can wish for invasion in one hand and shit in the other, and see which one fills up first.
Iran has offered no evidence that they US attacked DURING negotiations... but the US HAS offered evidence that the negotiations were over at Iran's insistence before any attacks took place. But, with that said, I'm not a big fan of negotiations anyhow. It's just one side trying to beat the other without a stick. Case in point - Iran's "conditions" Those are nothing short of laughable. They know the US isn't going for that any more than they'd go for what the US was insisting on before Iran started threatening us with nukes in the negotiation chambers, ending the negotiations.
It all really reminds me of an old book and movie (with Peter Cushing) I recall from the 1960's called "The Mouse That Roared".
"Reparations" my dyin' ass. Maybe Israel, Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Oman,Kuwait, Bahrain, Azerbaijan, all the countries hurting for oil at the moment, and the US need to demand "reparations" from Iran instead, seeing as how they started all this shit to begin with... and given that fact, they might want to rethink that "aggressor punished" demand. Let that roarin' mouse chew on that for a while.
ETA: What worries me the most at the moment is this - who in the hell is this "new government in Iran" that Trump keeps yammering on about? I don't see any "new government" in Iran, just the same old totalitarian regime with new chess pieces in place, just the same old turd with a flashy paint job. So who in the hell is it?
.
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - 727Sky - 03-31-2026
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - 727Sky - 03-31-2026
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - Ninurta - 04-01-2026
Iran lies, too. Who'da thunk it?
.
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - SomeJackleg - 04-01-2026
(04-01-2026, 07:29 PM)Ninurta Wrote: Iran lies, too. Who'da thunk it?
.
i have no doubt that russia has traded rocket booster tech and oil for the drone tech and production of iranian drones. reports were that one broke up on it's own and the U.S Navy might have shot down the other with a SM 3.
the way their drones and other tech seems to develop faster than others, due to the fact that they get help form other countries who are hell bent on being the top dogs and part of the new evil axis with little kim don't be surprised when one hits it's target
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - Ninurta - 04-02-2026
(04-01-2026, 09:51 PM)SomeJackleg Wrote:(04-01-2026, 07:29 PM)Ninurta Wrote: Iran lies, too. Who'da thunk it?
.
i have no doubt that russia has traded rocket booster tech and oil for the drone tech and production of iranian drones. reports were that one broke up on it's own and the U.S Navy might have shot down the other with a SM 3.
the way their drones and other tech seems to develop faster than others, due to the fact that they get help form other countries who are hell bent on being the top dogs and part of the new evil axis with little kim don't be surprised when one hits it's target
I've heard reports that Russia is smuggling previously purchased Shahid drones back into Iran with unspecified "improvements".
.
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - gortex - 04-03-2026
F-35 down over Iran , pilots missing search underway, the loss was reported online this morning our time but has been confirmed this afternoon.
Quote:A US fighter jet has gone down over Iran, according to new reports.
An American official has told the Reuters news agency the jet had been shot down and a search is under way for the pilots.
https://news.sky.com/story/iran-war-latest-trump-tehran-us-israel-kharg-island-netanyahu-lebanon-strikes-drone-live-sky-news-13509565
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - SomeJackleg - 04-03-2026
(04-03-2026, 03:08 PM)gortex Wrote: F-35 down over Iran , pilots missing search underway, the loss was reported online this morning our time but has been confirmed this afternoon.
Quote:A US fighter jet has gone down over Iran, according to new reports.
An American official has told the Reuters news agency the jet had been shot down and a search is under way for the pilots.
https://news.sky.com/story/iran-war-latest-trump-tehran-us-israel-kharg-island-netanyahu-lebanon-strikes-drone-live-sky-news-13509565
either a lucky shot or imho, missiles and radar supplied by one of two or the head tards of the new evil axis and the wanna be little kim.
there were reports of flights going into iran from both china and russia
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - F2d5thCav - 04-03-2026
F-35 or F-15E ? I read the latter went down.
Agree on something new having been shipped in. China looked like total fools after the failure of their air defenses in Venezuela.
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - SomeJackleg - 04-03-2026
(04-03-2026, 05:53 PM)F2d5thCav Wrote: F-35 or F-15E ? I read the latter went down.
Agree on something new having been shipped in. China looked like total fools after the failure of their air defenses in Venezuela.
there were reports a week or so ago that they hit a f 35, confirmed by CENTCOM, also there is a report that ny iran that they hit another F 35 today and a A-10 has crashed.
Second US F-35 fighter downed by IRGC in Iran, claims state media
Another US Jet Lost: A-10 Warthog Attack Plane Crashes Near Strait of Hormuz After Iran F-15 'Strike'
i haven't seen or read any confirmation on the last two. but there are images going round that show a Israeli F 35 with it's wing shot which is from a 2025
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - gortex - 04-03-2026
One of the crewmen from the downed F-15 has been rescued searches continue for his partner.
Quote:Two US aircraft involved in the rescue of the American F-15 fighter jet over Iran have also come under fire, according to two US officials speaking to CBS.
The BBC's US partner reports that an A-10 Warthog taking part in the search and rescue was hit, with the pilot ejecting over the Gulf, where he was rescued.
Two helicopters were also involved in the search, rescuing one of the two F-15E airmen from the earlier crash, CBS says, and the helicopter carrying a recovered pilot was hit by small arms fire, injuring crew members on board. The helicopter landed safely and the personnel are being treated.
CBS also reports that the F-15 was shot down early afternoon local time. The search is still reportedly under way for the second crew member, a weapon systems officer.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cgj0gn36px8t
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - The Crying Bunny - 04-04-2026
(04-03-2026, 08:27 PM)gortex Wrote: One of the crewmen from the downed F-15 has been rescued searches continue for his partner.
Quote:Two US aircraft involved in the rescue of the American F-15 fighter jet over Iran have also come under fire, according to two US officials speaking to CBS.
The BBC's US partner reports that an A-10 Warthog taking part in the search and rescue was hit, with the pilot ejecting over the Gulf, where he was rescued.
Two helicopters were also involved in the search, rescuing one of the two F-15E airmen from the earlier crash, CBS says, and the helicopter carrying a recovered pilot was hit by small arms fire, injuring crew members on board. The helicopter landed safely and the personnel are being treated.
CBS also reports that the F-15 was shot down early afternoon local time. The search is still reportedly under way for the second crew member, a weapon systems officer.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cgj0gn36px8t
I believe the 2nd crew member has also been rescued.
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - 727Sky - 04-04-2026
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - EndtheMadnessNow - 04-04-2026
Footage of Iranian police firing small arms at a pair of USAF HH-60Ws searching for the downed F-15E crew earlier today. Guessing these are the Jolly Green II Rescue Squadron.
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2040145805802106941
History not repeating, but rhyming. The Little Girl of Hanoi (1974, Vietnam).
![[Image: DXWB98HO_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/12/c5/DXWB98HO_o.jpg)
https://x.com/AliR_Ahmadi/status/2040065774526550297
Meanwhile, Iran has rejected a U.S. proposal for a 48-hour ceasefire, an unnamed source has told Iran's semi-official Fars news agency.
![[Image: ZwlweNYt_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/5e/b4/ZwlweNYt_o.jpg)
As of 31 March Six more A-10 Thunderbolt II's have arrived at RAF Lakenheath in the UK, bringing the total to 18 'Warthogs' now in England. (I guess one less after today)
Due to the angry French and Spaniards and Italians, the US bombers have had to circumvent Europe burning more fuel and longer flight times.
![[Image: jpkvPAij_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/b9/a7/jpkvPAij_o.jpg)
Two USAF EA-37B Compass Call aircraft (AXIS 41/43) visited RAF Mildenhall on 31 Mar 2026—marking the type’s first UK appearance and likely first overseas deployment. Arriving from Davis-Monthan AFB Arizona via JB McGuire, both departed on April 2nd.
![[Image: ctwZ2REB_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/17/5a/ctwZ2REB_o.jpg)
There are only believed to be 5 of these new jets operational at present, from an order of 10, with L3Harris & BAE Systems taking the Gulfstream G550 business jet and fitting the specialist electronic warfare equipment suite. It incorporates BAE Systems' Small Adaptive Bank of Electronic Resources (SABER) technology.
The role of the Compass Call is to disrupt enemy command and control communications, radars, and navigation systems, significantly hindering adversary coordination as part of the Counter-Command, Control, Computers, Communications, Cyber, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance Targeting (Counter-C5ISRT) mission.
Iranian military responds to Trump's threats to blow up Iranian bridges and power plants.
![[Image: SlbrENlK_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/5c/52/SlbrENlK_o.jpg)
Meanwhile, Iran continues to target the UAE...
Emirates Global Aluminium says it will take up to 12 months to completely restore aluminum production at its Al Taweelah site, one of the biggest aluminum production complexes in the world, after recent Iranian attacks on the site.
![[Image: Vm5HGeiV_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/c7/c9/Vm5HGeiV_o.jpg)
Operations at the Habshan gas facilities, the biggest gas processing site in the United Arab Emirates, were suspended early on Friday following a fire that erupted after an attack, Abu Dhabi Media Office said.
The Gulf states will soon have one of two options. Expel the Americans and close their airspace to them, or join the war fully and risk far bigger destruction.
That said, I doubt the War Dept. will care for things like technically closed airspace.
QatarEnergy, the world’s largest LNG export plant has been offline for a month due to Iranian missile attacks. They produce 20% of the world's LNG. Every week that it is offline, the world loses enough energy to power all of the homes in Sydney Australia...for a year. Qatar's energy minister said it will take 3-5 years to bring it back to full operation. That sounds bad.
Qatar's biggest LNG buyers are China, India, Taiwan, Pakistan, South Korea, Kuwait and Italy. The second largest LNG exporter is the USA but not able to make up for the Qatar loss. So, LNG is probably going to skyrocket in price. Most of the eastern hemisphere could look like North Korea at night. Meh, someone will figure something out or go back to burning coal.
The IRGC is now charging tolls, with rates starting at $1 per barrel of oil, on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, paid in Chinese Yuan or stablecoins, per Bloomberg.
1. To pass, ship operators must first contact an intermediary company linked to the IRGC.
2. They then provide their vessel’s ownership, flag, the cargo manifest, destination, crew list, and transponder information
3. The intermediary then passes the file onto the IRGC Navy’s Hormozgan Provincial Command for background checks to ensure no link to the US or Israel
4. Iran has a ranking system of 1 to 5 for nations, with ships from countries that are seen as friendly more likely to get better terms
Once the toll is paid, the IRGC issues a permit code and route instructions for the ship to pass. Every toll paid accelerates the yuan's role in commodity trade and builds a template for dollar bypass that survives any eventual conflict resolution.
The $2 million flat fee per transit runs roughly $1 per barrel on a fully loaded VLCC, but the cost wedge is the bigger story.
China, India, Russia, Pakistan, Iraq, and Malaysia transit at baseline rates. US-linked, Israeli-linked, and EU-flagged vessels face $4 to $6 per barrel all-in cost penalties once war risk insurance premiums running 3.5 to 10% of hull value stack on top.
That spread structurally advantages Asian refiners over European competitors on every single cargo moving through the strait.
![[Image: fdteulEO_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/65/21/fdteulEO_o.jpg)
Can't imagine this toll booth racket will last very long.
"But while governments scramble to find a way around the strait, a pipeline sits half-finished in the Baluchistan desert that could have solved the problem decades ago. So why wasn’t it completed?
This current oil crisis is not a bolt from the blue - the possibility has been debated time and time again for decades. So why has the world not figured out an alternative already? And why, with all these warnings in place, did Donald Trump decide to go ahead with military intervention?"
Some important lessons from history. "We were warned about the Strait of Hormuz" by Australian Broadcasting Corporation's 'If You're Listening'
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - gortex - 04-04-2026
The search for the missing airman continues with rumour of US Special forces on the ground , Iran has offered a $60,000 reward for his or her capture.
Quote:"It shows the jeopardy of conducting an air war, at the scale at which the Israeli and American forces are conducting it."
The F-15 fighter jet went down over Iran, with one pilot rescued and the other still missing.
"Obviously Tehran and Washington are desperately keen to get their hands on him or her," she says.
"And there's a reward out on that pilot's head with the local governors saying, you get $60,000 if you hand him over alive or her alive to police in the region.
"There is reporting that US special forces are on the ground. And they did manage to locate that first pilot pretty rapidly."
https://news.sky.com/story/iran-war-latest-trump-tehran-us-israel-kharg-island-netanyahu-lebanon-strikes-drone-live-sky-news-13509565
It's also reported the plane that was shot down was based in and flew out from Britain.
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - EndtheMadnessNow - 04-05-2026
Different angle of US strike on B1 bridge in Karaj, Iran from a couple days ago.
https://x.com/Shayan86/status/2040421424117039256
![[Image: c9YCQeNM_o.jpg]](https://images2.imgbox.com/7f/0e/c9YCQeNM_o.jpg)
Secretary Rubio Revokes Green Cards of Foreign Nationals with Ties to Iranian Terror Regime
Holy JASSM: F-16 Fighting Falcon from the South Carolina Air National Guard's "Swamp Foxes" on an Iran strike mission, carrying a pair of AGM-158 JASSM cruise missiles.
![[Image: F-16-Fighting-Falcon.jpg]](https://i.ibb.co/JRfbBkTc/F-16-Fighting-Falcon.jpg)
![[Image: 108-tankers-have-departed-the-Strait-of-...-03-01.jpg]](https://i.ibb.co/QFws8zjz/108-tankers-have-departed-the-Strait-of-Hormuz-since-2026-03-01.jpg)
The Trump Timeline:
Jan 18: "Iranian patriots, help is coming. We are moving in."
Feb 28: "We are launching the decisive operation. It will be very fast."
Mar 2: "We will win easily."
Mar 3: "We have won the war."
Mar 7: "We defeated Iran."
Mar 9: "Strike Iran. The war is almost over—clean and decisive."
Mar 12: "We have won, but not completely yet."
Mar 13: "We won the war again."
Mar 14: "We need help to open the strait."
Mar 15: "If you don’t help, I will remember it."
Mar 16: "We actually don’t need help—I was testing loyalty. If NATO doesn’t help, consequences will follow."
Mar 17: "We don’t need NATO help and don’t want it. No Congress approval needed to exit NATO."
Mar 18: "Allies must cooperate to open the Strait of Hormuz."
Mar 19: "US allies must step up and help open the strait.”
Mar 20: "NATO is cowardly. We may phase this out."
Mar 21: "We don’t use the strait. Others need it, not us."
Mar 22: "Final warning. Iran has 48 hours. Iran is finished."
Mar 23: "One more week, then we bomb power plants."
Mar 24: "The war is nearing its end."
Mar 25: "We are negotiating with Iran."
Mar 26: "Iran is begging for peace. They gave us a gift. We delay strikes on power plants."
Mar 27: "I and the Ayatollah will jointly manage the Strait of Hormuz."
Mar 28: "Regime change has occurred in Iran."
Mar 29: "Negotiations with Iran are going extremely well."
Mar 30: "We are prepared to destroy Iran’s oil and energy infrastructure and occupy Kharg Island."
Mar 31: "We are ready to end the war without opening the strait."
Apr 1: "War ends in 3 days. We will bomb them for 2–3 weeks back into the Stone Age."
Apr 2: “We destroyed three major bridges. Why haven’t they called us yet?”
April 4th: Tick tock...
![[Image: Trump-48-hr-warning.jpg]](https://i.ibb.co/B5SDL7s3/Trump-48-hr-warning.jpg)
US military aircraft losses:
![[Image: US-military-aircraft-losses-Feb-28-Apr-4.jpg]](https://i.ibb.co/4g0d8VYK/US-military-aircraft-losses-Feb-28-Apr-4.jpg)
- 4x F15E "Strike Eagle" (3 to friendly-fire over Kuwait. 1 to Iranian fire, pilot rescued, the other is MIA)
- 1x E-3G "Sentry" (on the ground at Prince Sultan Airbase in Saudi Arabia)
- 1x A-10C "Thunderbolt II" (crashed near the Strait of Hormuz at around the same time an F-15E fighter jet was shot down in Iran, A-10 pilot rescued)
- 2x CH-47F "Chinook" (heavily damaged on ground at Camp Buehring in Kuwait - TBC if write-offs)
- 2x HH-60W "Jolly Green II" (reported to have taken fire during CSAR over Iran, cited making it into Iraq with significant smoke trail - no casualties reported, extent of damage/repair options TBC)
- 1x F-35A "Lightning II" (emergency landing after taking fire, pilot received medical care, extent of damage/repair options TBC)
- ?x KC-135R/T "Stratotanker" (1 lost with 6 crew KIA over Iraq, 1 damaged in same incident and hasn't flown since, 1+ destroyed on ground at Prince Sultan Airbase in same incident as E-3G, as yet unconfirmed reports of up to 5 additional damaged or destroyed at same or another base prior)
- 17x MQ-9A "Reaper" drones (~$30 mil each)
The other war...
![[Image: Hezbollah-continues-to-use-fiber-optic-F...-tanks.jpg]](https://i.ibb.co/zVMBYhZs/Hezbollah-continues-to-use-fiber-optic-FPV-attack-drones-to-target-Israeli-tanks.jpg)
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2040519703139950681
Three Flying Doritos passing over the Strait of Gibraltar on April 3rd.
Never seen so many - Eighteen A-10 Warthog's takeoff from RAF Lakenheath:
Twelve of the type diverted back in due to what appeared to be a delay with their route over Europe.
BRrrrrrrrrrrrr
![[Image: A-10-Thunderbolt-II.jpg]](https://i.ibb.co/sJwSRKkR/A-10-Thunderbolt-II.jpg)
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - SomeJackleg - 04-05-2026
F-15 weapons officer rescued, all of extraction team out. air force conducted strikes against irgc sent to stop extraction and got their asses blown to hell.
Second crew member from F-15 downed in Iran rescued by US forces: Officials
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - EndtheMadnessNow - 04-05-2026
(04-05-2026, 04:16 AM)SomeJackleg Wrote: F-15 weapons officer rescued, all of extraction team out. air force conducted strikes against irgc sent to stop extraction and got their asses blown to hell.
Second crew member from F-15 downed in Iran rescued by US forces: Officials
UPDATE:
![[Image: Search-and-Rescue-Operation-has-recovere...-pilot.jpg]](https://i.ibb.co/wN4HqSPX/Search-and-Rescue-Operation-has-recovered-the-second-F-15-pilot.jpg)
RE: Looks like the war with Iran is cooking off - F2d5thCav - 04-05-2026
(04-05-2026, 04:16 AM)SomeJackleg Wrote: F-15 weapons officer rescued, all of extraction team out. air force conducted strikes against irgc sent to stop extraction and got their asses blown to hell.
Second crew member from F-15 downed in Iran rescued by US forces: Officials
And by way of messaging, ALL IRGC/Basij etc. bases that supported that Iranian capture effort should be absolutely eradicated.