The "F" Curve: Fraud Curve

[Infolurker]

Mainly posting this here so I can reference later as sometimes it is very difficult to find statistics and articles again months later.

This is a graphical and mathematical analysis of the "AM Hours" where suddenly "strange irregularities happened" such as Vote total additions of 24 to 1 Biden/Trump suddenly added to the tally in the dead of the night.


24 to 1.... I wonder what the polling on that area looked like "before" the so called vote... LOL

https://votepatternanalysis.substack.com...alies-2020

Executive Summary


In the early hours of November 4th, 2020, Democratic candidate Joe Biden received several major “vote spikes” that substantially — and decisively — improved his electoral position in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. Much skepticism and uncertainty surrounds these “vote spikes.” Critics point to suspicious vote counting practices, extreme differences between the two major candidates’ vote counts, and the timing of the vote updates, among other factors, to cast doubt on the legitimacy of some of these spikes. While data analysis cannot on its own demonstrate fraud or systemic issues, it can point us to statistically anomalous cases that invite further scrutiny. 

This is one such case: Our analysis finds that a few key vote updates in competitive states were unusually large in size and had an unusually high Biden-to-Trump ratio. We demonstrate the results differ enough from expected results to be cause for concern.

With this report, we rely only on publicly available data from the New York Times to identify and analyze statistical anomalies in key states. Looking at 8,954 individual vote updates (differences in vote totals for each candidate between successive changes to the running vote totals, colloquially also referred to as “dumps” or “batches”), we discover a remarkably consistent mathematical property: there is a clear inverse relationship between difference in candidates’ vote counts and and the ratio of the vote counts. (In other words, it's not surprising to see vote updates with large margins, and it's not surprising to see vote updates with very large ratios of support between the candidates, but it is surprising to see vote updates which are both). 

The significance of this property will be further explained in later sections of this report. Nearly every vote update, across states of all sizes and political leanings follow this statistical pattern. A very small number, however, are especially aberrant. Of the seven vote updates which follow the pattern the least, four individual vote updates — two in Michigan, one in Wisconsin, and one in Georgia — were particularly anomalous and influential with respect to this property and all occurred within the same five hour window.

[xuenchen]

I thought they proved all those sudden vote counts were 100% coincidental?

[Infolurker]

Wink Wink...

Nothing to see here.

[BIAD]

Thanks for that Substack article, it's a really interesting read.

[Ninurta]

I thought they proved all those sudden vote counts were 100% coincidental?

No, no, NO! They weren't coincidence, they never happened - it was all just in our conspiratorial imaginations! I think you must need a visit to O'Brien's office until you stop yelling that "there are FOUR lights!" nonsense!!

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